published in: European Economic Review, 2004, 48 (2), 259-284
The paper explores the consequences of macroeconomic policy for labor market outcomes in the
presence of frictions. It shows how policy may be useful in overriding frictions, as well as how it might
generate adverse outcomes. The analysis looks at the main tools of macroeconomic policy and
pertains to both the non-stochastic steady state and to business cycle fluctuations. A partial-equilibrium,
empirically-grounded model is used to simulate policy effects. It relies on a reduced-form
VAR of the actual data to specify the stochastic behavior of exogenous variables, precluding the
possibility that labor market results will be affected by misspecifications in other parts of a more
general macroeconomic model.
The key results are that policy has effects on the stochastic behavior of key variables - measures that
reduce unemployment also reduce its persistence and increase the volatility of vacancies. Hiring
subsidies and unemployment benefits have substantial effects on labor market outcomes, while
employment subsidies or wage tax reductions are not very effective policy instruments.
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